Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.179688 0.195834 0.212978 0.232574 0.254396 0.278000 0.305527
2026-02-08 0.148380 0.170625 0.195836 0.226678 0.263601 0.306645 0.361003
2026-02-15 0.129151 0.154283 0.184128 0.222503 0.271002 0.330876 0.411361
2026-02-22 0.118690 0.146244 0.180238 0.225796 0.286069 0.364243 0.475249
2026-03-01 0.108683 0.137322 0.173779 0.224342 0.293859 0.387896 0.527940
2026-03-08 0.099904 0.128956 0.166937 0.221199 0.298350 0.406677 0.575059
2026-03-15 0.091722 0.120579 0.159182 0.215770 0.298636 0.418899 0.613180
2026-03-22 0.088486 0.118553 0.159750 0.221797 0.315551 0.456538 0.694065
2026-03-29 0.085077 0.115956 0.159196 0.225953 0.329788 0.491210 0.774209
2026-04-05 0.080959 0.112013 0.156338 0.226294 0.337962 0.516859 0.842146
2026-04-12 0.075378 0.105569 0.149336 0.219664 0.334356 0.522746 0.875973
2026-04-19 0.070220 0.099433 0.142383 0.212541 0.329222 0.525367 0.903836
2026-04-26 0.066064 0.094664 0.137359 0.208356 0.328999 0.537050 0.951539
2026-05-03 0.061983 0.089799 0.131917 0.203135 0.326631 0.544831 0.993097
2026-05-10 0.058611 0.085832 0.127626 0.199469 0.326580 0.556680 1.044291
2026-05-17 0.056941 0.084415 0.127272 0.202352 0.338317 0.591516 1.148102
2026-05-24 0.054540 0.081697 0.124634 0.201078 0.342308 0.611840 1.223655
2026-05-31 0.052030 0.078668 0.121301 0.198324 0.343248 0.626148 1.287777
2026-06-07 0.049325 0.075186 0.117015 0.193566 0.339934 0.631434 1.331647
2026-06-14 0.048659 0.075008 0.118261 0.198848 0.356456 0.679365 1.485269
2026-06-21 0.047731 0.074341 0.118616 0.202489 0.370011 0.722501 1.634851
2026-06-28 0.046293 0.072737 0.117251 0.202787 0.376772 0.751468 1.752945
2026-07-05 0.043953 0.069492 0.112837 0.196980 0.370378 0.750121 1.789090